Thursday, January 20, 2022

Why Nations Fail—The Origins of Power Prosperity and Poverty by Daron Acemoglu and James Robinson

 


When eminent economists assert that the drivers of development have their roots in politics and that history matters a great deal in the process, it can come as a jolt to many modern policy makers and ideologues. This is particularly true of those who consider economic problems to be quasi technical issues solvable a with healthy dose of unregulated markets and free trade and capital flows. The hard science of economics does not -- in this view -- need any support from the conditional, qualified and often muddled propositions of the ‘soft’ disciplines.

Reading Acemoglu and Robinson is both exhilarating and educational, as they carefully and with a wealth of examples ranging from ancient Rome, medieval Japan and Europe to colonial America, take apart the traditional explanations of poverty and inequality and offer a powerfully convincing alternative.

The authors classify extant explanations of poverty and inequality into three broad groups:-

Geography: climate and related disease vectors and poor soil productivity

Culture and religion: other-worldliness if not downright indolence

Sheer ignorance: policy makers unaware of existing straightforward technical solutions

They then proceed to establish the inadequacy of these explanations in the real world.

The authors begin in a slightly dramatic fashion by looking at two identically named towns located close together, but on opposite sides of the US -Mexican border.

 

“The city of Nogales is cut in half by a fence……look north and you will see Nogales Arizona, USA. Life south of the fence, (in Nogales Sonora, Mexico) just a few feet away, is rather different."

 The towns share a common climate and the population has common racial-cultural roots, but one is a developed and prosperous township while the other is far from being so. The difference, the authors contend, lies in the institutions governing the political and economic life of the two towns. A more convincing example is that of the two Koreas—widely different development performance, but identical geographical and racial/cultural characteristics.

Historical contingencies, the authors contend, determine the evolution of political institutions in a society -- the manner in which power is distributed across the population and the constraints, if any, that regulate the exercise of political power. Political institutions in turn condition and support economic institutions -- the rules governing property, contracts and exchange -- the provision of public goods and also other critical institutions like those for dispensing justice and ensuring security and law and order. Institutions together determine economic growth and the distribution of income and wealth -- in effect, the development outcomes for the society.

Societies where inclusive institutions evolve, experience prosperity. Such institutions are characterized by pluralistic distribution of power, effective constraints on its use, secure property rights and the enforcement of economic and other contracts , effective centralized states that ensure availability of public goods, security and law and order.

The critical questions however is, why such institutions evolve in some societies and not in others. Here the authors emphasize the role of critical junctures in history.  The Black Death in 14th century Europe created conditions -- a drastic reduction in the labour force, primarily -- that pushed western Europe towards the gradual elimination of serfdom, but had quite the opposite effect in eastern Europe where ground conditions were different. In the authors words, “The outcome of events during critical junctures are shaped by the weight of history. The outcome, however, is not historically predetermined but contingent.” In effect, history matters! And the accidents of history matter!

More significantly for most of the world, the widespread European colonization of the Americas and much of Asia and Africa conditioned the nature of institutions that evolved in the colonized territories.

The authors go into great and fascinating detail about the colonization of the Americas. The story of Spanish and Portuguese colonization of South America is very different from the British efforts in North America and the different conditions that the colonizers found in the areas they reached, created different outcomes over time. South America saw the establishment of brutally extractive institutions and, because institutions tend to persist, iniquitous extractive institutions have been the norm South of the Rio Grande. Extractive institutions result in the failure of nations and the colonial legacy of South America is visible in the relative failure of both democracy and development in that region. North of the great river however, conditions were very different and all the initial efforts of feudal vested interests to establish a clone of feudal Britain failed.

 The colonial experience of Africa and the consequences thereof for post-colonial Africa, is another interesting area the authors examine.  

The story and accompanying analysis of how a critical juncture –colonialism -- created different trajectories of political, social and economic development in different environments is a fascinating one and for those of us without much exposure to world history, hugely educative.

The basic thesis, that extractive institutions do not enable sustained growth and that inclusive institutions are a necessary condition for development can perhaps be questioned on issues of definition. What is an ideal inclusive society and what an extractive one? Can there not be shades of grey here, and how will that impinge on growth paradigms?

Regardless of academic quibbles, the book is a long, but extremely interesting and informative read. The effort is well worth the reward.

Happy reading.

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