Saturday, October 30, 2021

The British Industrial Revolution in Global Perspective --------- Robert C Allen

 


The Industrial Revolution in the 18th century is generally considered to have heralded the modern age on Planet Earth. But why did this happen on a small island in North Western Europe and not elsewhere? And why at a particular juncture in history? And what brought it about and who? The questions are intriguing and the answers offered by economic historian, Robert C Allen, make for a fascinating read.

The story, the author asserts, begins with the Black Death in the mid-14th century. The logic and sequence of events is as under:

Black Death --drastic drop in population --farms abandoned and much cultivated land reverts to pasture --sheep begin to eat better and the quality of their wool improves slowly, but very significantly, over time-- Britain, with better wool, produces better fabrics which find a big market in Europe --trade increases and along with it economic growth sets in with growing proto-industrialization (handicrafts produced in homes) urbanization, starting with London, and high wages. The labour shortage, of course, is primary in creating a high wage economy. A ban on export of raw wool encourages fabric export instead of raw wool export. State intervention is, therefore, very important here!

 Centuries go by.

 Population catches up, but trade driven growth backed by growing agricultural productivity and urbanization keep Britain a high wage economy. Innovations in printing reduce the cost of books and growing commercialization of the economy leads to increasing literacy and numeracy. The British economy is transformed over a couple of centuries.

The Scientific Revolution occurs in the 17th century—people learn to control and manipulate nature instead of praying to it -- and this lays the foundation for the Industrial Revolution to come.

The Portuguese discover the sea route to the Indies via the Cape and the Spanish Crown funds the voyage of one Christopher Columbus. The first great Globalization begins and intra-European trade is replaced by inter-continental trade, helped along by the power of Brit arms, as the driver of growth in Britain.

So, we have a growing and high wage economy with an increasingly literate and numerate population and extensive proto-industrialization. The scientific revolution and globalization have occurred, Asian textiles and other exotic consumer goods have triggered some sort of consumerism and the 18th century dawns.

The technological revolution that began in the 18th century was primarily in cotton spinning, iron smelting with coke instead of charcoal and, of course, the use of steam for power -- the steam engine. And they all happened in Britain while the scientific revolution in the previous century happened to a great extent in Europe -- remember Galileo was Italian!

The question the author addresses is why the mechanization of cotton cleaning, carding and spinning, the use of steam for power and the change in the process of smelting iron evolved in Britain.

The answer in short is, for reasons economic. The pursuit of profit is what drove the effort that led to tech innovations in these areas. Many factors were necessary -- nature’s bounty (coal and iron ore in close proximity), consumerism, the scientific revolution and  an increasingly scientific outlook in society, but economic motivations, provided the tipping point.

Wages were high and coal was cheap and abundant. Wood was getting scarce and expensive and increasing coal use, initially for heating, was a logical step. This led to increasing demand for coal and for increasing coal production more effective means of draining the mines were essential. The Newcomen steam engine, which took Mr Newcomen ten years to build, did just that. The engine ran on coal, which at the mines was free, and despite its inefficiency, served a crucial commercial purpose -- enabling increased coal production. This was what the author calls a ‘macro invention’ which ‘set in train long trajectories of advance that resulted in great increases in productivity……. they also radically changed factor proportions, substituting energy and capital for labour.’

 

But these big inventions needed time and money and effort to create technologies that would exploit the full potential of the original macro invention. In the case of the steam engine, for example, a century plus was needed for steam engines to progress from only draining mines to powering machinery and later ships and, of course, the iron horse, the railways. This process of actualizing the potential of macro inventions by progressive improvements the author calls micro inventions. The forerunners to modern venture capitalists are to be found here, too, incidentally.

The author’s analysis of the three critical inventions that drove the industrial revolution, in terms of macro and micro inventions, is fascinating. The search for profit in the context of a high wage, urbanized, coal rich economy was a primary driver, but the particular stories in each case are extremely interesting. Who were the inventors? Upper class, rich university men or working-class weavers apprenticed to the trade as children? Who financed the invention processes? Did the patent system help innovation and did all innovators benefit from it? And what about industrial espionage? The questions go on and on…

 For students of economics, some curious issues surface: state intervention in general and trade restrictions and protection in particular have helped growth and neoclassical free markets are not the panacea that we were taught they were. Comparative advantage, the legitimate basis of trade, is a dynamic thing and can change dramatically over time when circumstances – technology, in particular -- change. Real life confounds a great deal of theory is the take away here.

Allen writes clearly, argues very convincingly and the book is, therefore, an easy read. For anyone interested in questions like Why Britain or Why the West and not the Rest, this is a must read.

Happy reading.

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